Polling guru says industry 'cheating' to make Trump-Harris race look closer than it is

“Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying," Nate Silver says

Published: November 1, 2024 3:43pm

Updated: November 1, 2024 3:46pm

Pollster Nate Silver is accusing other pollsters of cheating with their battleground state surveys.

“I don’t think we’re going to learn very much in this last week of the polling. In fact, I kind of trust pollsters less. Every time a pollster [says] ‘Oh, every state is just a plus one. Every single state’s a tie.’ No, you’re f***ing herding. You’re cheating,” Silver said on his “Risky Business” podcast on Thursday.

“Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying. You’re putting your f***ing finger on the scale. I will not name names, but some pollsters are really bad about this. Emerson College. Whoops, was that recorded?”

Silver, founder of the highly-respected "538" polling analysis site, also said GOP-leaning polling firms are producing surveys showing Trump up 1 point in Pennsylvania every single time. 

"That’s not how polling is supposed to work," he said.

He also said that The New York Times has shown it "actually has balls" when it comes to polling. 

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